Augh

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Joined 5 months ago
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Cake day: January 26th, 2024

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  • The thing about long-term predictions (at least ones that get publicity) is that usually the goal is to change them, so few have been “proven”. No one is printing stories about how an isolated set of rocks is going to be decayed by X% due to weather, because no one cares.

    Except birth rates aren’t physics that will progress if left alone, they’re dominated by cultural choices that are impacted by economics and governmental policy.

    Exactly. Those are the factors that are being considered when making these predictions. If economic factors and policies are making it harder to have kids, then birth rates drop, which is what we’re seeing now. What else is going to have as much of an effect?

    These predictions don’t exist to take bets on. They’re not scrying into the future. They’re just binoculars that point to where we’re going.


  • No, they just need to be kept in that context. We trusted science on chlorofluorocarbons impacting the ozone layer, and chose to fix it rather than let it keep going. Was the projection “wrong” because CFCs were regulated, or did we just interact with it in a practical way?

    The same applies here. There’s a population issue that (as you mentioned in another comment) without other factors, will come into effect. China can fix it, or let things play out and see if the “unknowns” can fix it for them.





  • As someone who deals with business analytics/ budgeting, “not meeting sales expectations” is a 1:1 translation to “bad sales.” Sony has R&D, manufacturing, and other “static” costs that need to be recouped with more unit sales–decent isn’t enough when you’re balancing everything around great.

    (This translates to much of peak-covid -> “post”-covid business decision backlash. So much short-term thinking based on the economy being temporarily on crack with everyone at home).



  • That’s what the [sic] is for. It’s showing “here’s what the person literally said, to make sure we’re not misquoting them.”

    It’s standard practice, as “stepping up and taking charge” would mean substituting someone else’s words for your own, which is a slippery slope. “Oh he said X, but meant Y, so I’ll write that instead” can very easily be abused by people actively looking to misrepresent other’s words.

    Source: BA Journalism, who had to use [sic] when quoting non-native English speakers (was part of an immigration story). Whenever possible, I’d try to clarify/ correct mid-interview: “oh, you said A, but I think you might’ve meant B. Is that correct?” That way, you know for a fact it’s still their words.






  • I’d argue that ignoring that any forced, unpaid labor under threat of violence is slavery is worse than “minimizing chattel slavery,” full stop.

    This is unintentionally drinking the corporate prison Kool Aid at best, and actively sanitizing our prison’s cruel labor system at worst.

    Accurately calling prison labor slavery isn’t a knock on chattel slavery, it’s an acknowledgement that it’s changed. Say it’s not as bad all you want, but it’s still the same forces at work.